Dangerous Thoughts
The Money Trail

Follow the Money: Economic Impact Visualizations

Anti-immigration policies are not protecting the economy. They are destroying it. In 2025 and 2026, restrictive immigration policies have already cost the …

The Cost to Everyone: Lost Growth, Lost Jobs, Lost Wealth

Anti-immigration policies are not protecting the economy. They are destroying it. In 2025 and 2026, restrictive immigration policies have already cost the U.S. economy between $70 billion and $175 billion annually in lost GDP—real money that would have created jobs, built infrastructure, and raised living standards.

Plate I: Anti-Immigration GDP Loss Projections
Cumulative Lost GDP from 2025-2035 (in Trillions)
$0T $3T $6T $9T $12T 2025-2028 $1.9T 2025-2035 $12.1T Per Capita $5,612 (2025-28) This is money that won't be created. Jobs that won't be filled. Growth that won't happen.

Over the decade from 2025 to 2035, cumulative GDP loss reaches $12.1 trillion. That is $34,369 per person. Money that would have gone to wages, benefits, investment, growth. Instead, it vanishes because the economy cannot function at full capacity when labor is artificially restricted.

Racism: $71 Trillion in Lost Wealth Over 30 Years

Racism is not just a moral problem. It is an economic catastrophe. Over thirty years, racial discrimination has cost the United States approximately $71 trillion in lost GDP. That is cumulative wealth that was never created because people of color were denied opportunities that white Americans took for granted.

Plate II: Economic Cost of Racial Discrimination
Lost GDP Over 30 Years
$28T U.S. Annual GDP $16T 20-Year Racism Cost $71T 30-Year Loss From Racial Discrimination The $71 trillion lost to racism over 30 years is 2.5 times the entire annual U.S. GDP. That is wealth that was not earned, investment that was not made, opportunity that was denied. In 2025 alone, racial discrimination cost the economy $2.6 trillion—more than Denmark's entire GDP.

Who Benefits: The Profiteers of Division

If these policies destroy the economy, why do they persist? Because a small group of elites profit enormously while everyone else loses. Follow the money:

Plate III: Annual Revenue from Immigration Enforcement Contracts
Private Prison Companies Profit from Detention (2025)
$0 $175M $350M $525M $700M GEO Group $710M CoreCivic $269M ICE Budget $29.9B 2025 Private prison companies received nearly $1 billion in ICE contracts in 2025. More enforcement = More detained = More profit.

In 2025 alone, Geo Group received $710 million in ICE contracts. CoreCivic received $269 million. That is nearly $1 billion annually to two private prison companies for detaining immigrants. ICE pays approximately $165 per day for each person held in detention. More arrests mean more money. These companies lobby for harsher enforcement. They donate to politicians who promise to deport more people. Their profit depends on expanding the detention system.

The Black Jobs Deficit: $87 Billion in Lost Income (2025)

Racial discrimination in employment is not an accident. It is systematic. In 2025, Black Americans faced a 1.8 million job deficit compared to white employment rates. That costs Black America $87 billion in lost income annually. But it costs everyone. Those wages not earned are taxes not paid, consumer spending that does not happen, economic growth that never materializes.

Plate IV: Racial Employment Gap and Income Loss
2025 Data
Black/White Employment Gap 3.7% White Unemployment 7.2% Black Unemployment 3.5x Higher Economic Impact $87B Lost Income (2025) Jobs Needed: 1.8M To Match White Employment Rates This is not accidental. This is systemic discrimination in hiring, wages, and advancement. And it makes everyone poorer. Lost wages = Lost taxes = Lost consumer spending = Lost growth. The entire economy contracts when people are excluded from opportunity.

Per-Worker Impact: What Anti-Immigration Policy Costs Each American

Let's make this personal. Anti-immigration policies do not just hurt immigrants. They hurt every worker in America by restricting economic growth and suppressing wages.

$34,369
Lost per person by 2035 from anti-immigration policies (2025-2035)
$5,612
Lost per person from 2025-2028 alone
$71T ÷ 330M
Over 30 years, racism costs each American roughly $215,000 in lost opportunity
15.7M
Fewer workers by 2035 due to immigration restrictions (net labor force reduction)

These are not theoretical numbers. These are real dollars that would have been earned as wages, invested in businesses, spent in communities. Instead, they are lost because of policy choices made to divide working people.

The Mechanism: How Anti-Immigration and Racism Suppress Wages for Everyone

Plate V: How Division Suppresses Wages
The System Flows
How the System Works: Division = Lower Wages for Everyone Immigration Restrictions Workers Fearful & Vulnerable Cannot Organize Or Demand Raises Wages Systemic Racism People of Color Excluded/Underpaid Workers Divided & Blaming Each Other Wages THE RESULT: When workers fight each other, employers win. ✓ Employers pay less ✓ Workers have no bargaining power ✓ No one can organize ✓ Economy contracts ✓ Growth slows ✓ Everyone gets poorer

The system is not broken. It is working exactly as designed. Division prevents unity. Fear prevents organizing. When workers of different backgrounds blame each other instead of the employer, the employer wins. Wages stay low. Benefits disappear. The economy contracts. But profit concentrates at the top.

"The greatest weapon in the hands of the oppressor is the mind of the oppressed." This broadsheet applies that wisdom to labor and economics: The greatest weapon in the hands of employers is workers divided against each other.

Who Profits: The Distribution of Benefits from the System

Plate VI: Who Gets Rich From Anti-Immigration and Racism
The Profit Chain
PROFITS From Division Private Prisons ~$1B/year Enforcement Contractors Low-wage Employers Politicians & Media (Division Sales) Companies That Discriminate Banks/Lenders (Keep Wealth Gap) Every company and politician listed above profits from keeping workers divided and wages low.

The Math Is Clear: You Lose, They Win

$12.1T
Lost by working people 2025-2035
~$1B
Gained by private prison companies (just in 2025)
$71T
Lost by all Americans from 30 years of racism
$710M
One private prison company earned in 2025

The system works like this: A small elite profits billions. Everyone else loses trillions. The profit concentration happens because workers are divided. United, they would demand fair wages and force the system to share wealth. Divided, they fight each other while the wealthy extract maximum value.

This is not theory. This is math. This is what the data shows. You can argue about politics. But you cannot argue with numbers.

✦ ✦ ✦

Data Sources & Citations

GDP Loss from Anti-Immigration Policies: Econofact (0.3-0.4% reduction 2025); Brookings Institution January 2026 (0.19-0.26% reduction, $40-60B consumer spending decline); National Foundation for American Policy October 2025 (one-third growth reduction by 2035); Law firm analysis (cumulative $1.9T 2025-2028, $12.1T 2025-2035, $34,369 per capita); Dallas Federal Reserve (0.75-1.0% growth reduction 2025); American Enterprise Institute working paper (negative net migration 2025); Congressional Budget Office Trump reconciliation analysis.

Economic Cost of Racism: Citigroup "Closing the Racial Inequality Gaps" ($16T over 20 years); Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco February 2021 ($2.6T for 2019, ~$71T over 30 years); McKinsey (6% GDP higher if racial wealth gap closed by 2028); U.S. Department of Treasury (40% of 1960-2010 GDP growth attributable to reduced occupational barriers).

Employment & Wage Discrimination: Center for Economic and Policy Research January 2026 (Black jobs deficit $87B, 1.8M jobs, increased 20% from 2024); BLS July 2025 (7.2% Black unemployment vs. 3.7% white); Inequality.org February 2026 (24% median wage gap, 10x wealth gap); Brandeis University research (neighborhood opportunity gaps).

Immigration Enforcement Profit: Project on Government Oversight February 2026 (GEO Group $710M ICE contracts; CoreCivic $269M); Public Citizen (private prison details); Congressional Budget Office (ICE budget $29.9B, 290,000 deportations 2026-2029, 50,000 daily detained); $165/day detention rate.

Labor Suppression & Exploitation: Economic Policy Institute (employers exploit vulnerable workers to suppress wages); Institute for Policy Studies (6 per 100,000 foreign-born worker fatality rate vs. 3 per 100,000 overall); Center for American Progress (23% construction undocumented); Center for Public Integrity (wage theft in industries with high immigrant populations).

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Orion Quinn
In the tradition of Mike Quin

Writes for Dangerous Thoughts on dignity, organizing, and the work of saving America and Americans — in the plain, fierce register of his grandfather, the labor journalist Mike Quin (1906–1947). These are his own words about today; Quin’s exact writing appears only in the archive, always cited.

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